May 21, 2012 – Daily Brief: Annular Eclipse of SCV’s Heart

  • The Local Group Astronomy Club of Santa Clarita Valley hosted a sizable crowd at Central Park for the viewing of Sunday’s annular eclipse. I took my daughter and it was a great time. Friend of SCVtalk Steve Petzold was very much the life of the party. SIGNAL
  • A single-vehicle crash on Soledad Canyon Rd. claimed the life of the driver, Amber Popiel, 30 of Canyon Country. SIGNAL
  • Meanwhile, the victims on Thrusday’s motorcycle crash on Decoro has been identified as 39 year-old Michael De St. Jean of Santa Clarita. SCVNEWS
  • Unemployment in Santa Clarita falls from 7.3 to 6.8% in April, but I’m just as excited to see the byline for this article, “Josh Premako, SCVNEWS.COM”. Josh was a longtime reporter and editor and The Signal, and a favorite of SCVtalk. It’s great to see Josh reporting in the SCV again. SCVNEWS
  • The massive drum circle at COC on Friday may have broken the world record. SIGNAL SCVNEWS
  • A reporter for the VC Star looks at the 25th Congressional race through the eyes of Simi Valley VCSTAR
  • The 87 year-old woman who had been reported missing has been found and said to be “doing her own thing” SIGNAL
  • Tim Myers spoke to Kevin Shenkman, the attorney who has been bringing suits under the CA VRA against cities who still have at-large council districts, who hints that Santa Clarita may be in his crosshairs sooner or later. SIGNAL
  • As second bond agency has lowered the Santa Clarita Community College District’s bond rating from AA+ to AA. Lower state funded and a slumping housing market are to blame, but looking around this morning, it appears that a lot of CC districts in California are below AA (The State California is A-). SIGNAL
  • In The Signal, Jim Holt profiles each of the 38th AD candidates: Wilk, Headington, McKeon and Strickland
  • Anthony Ervin, the Hart High graduate who was the first African-American Olympic gold medalist in swimming, and who famously donated that gold medal to tsunami relief, has shocked the swimming world by making the 2012 US Olympic Team after a years-long absence from the sport. SI/AP
  • Steve Luntetta gets silly about the local GOP fighting, leaves out an important detail or two SIGNAL
  • Dodgers shut out the world champion Cardinals on SCV Dodger Day KHTS
Posted in Daily Brief | 36 Comments

Buck McKeon likes federal spending programs

As long as they are defense-related. He is, in the words of Barney Frank, a weaponized Keynsian:

The crazy thing is that I agree with Buck McKeon. Federal spending can create good jobs which result in durable and healthy communities, like the one Buck McKeon is trying preserve in the AV. Just look at the people in that video, proof positive that the Keynsian “multiplier effect” is real (ie the auto shop owner in the video is benefiting because the federal government is creating demand in his area). Indeed one person says federal spending is the “lifeblood” of the Antelope Valley.

In the old guns vs butter debate, Buck McKeon wants to have it both ways. He’s firmly on the side of guns as a way to create jobs, but he, along with other Republicans, fight every other federal spending effort to create “butter” jobs. Indeed, they fight the very notion that deficit spending during a recession is what you’re supposed to do to get out of a recession.

On a side note, did you get a sense in the video of the SCV’s position on Buck McKeon’s Washington agenda? Somehow I feel the interests of the Antelope Valley are much higher on his list than his old hometown.

Posted in Politics | 59 Comments

Dante Acosta Interview

Dante Acosta is a Republican running for Congress in California’s 25th District. He’s one of two Republican primary challengers to incumbent Buck McKeon. He agreed to an interview with SCVTalk and his answers are below.

SCVTALK:Tell us about your background and why you are running for US Congress?

ACOSTA : I am the middle of five children and was born and raised in the San Fernando Valley. My father died when I was 11 so my mother raised her five children alone.

When I was 8 years old, we moved from Studio City to Granada Hills which was a great place to grow up. We had very little money in those years but my mother worked hard holding three jobs to make ends meet and somehow we managed. She eventually started a bridal shop that became a successful family business. We often came to Santa Clarita to Hart Park and ate Moore’s Sub sandwiches and played in the park.

As a young man, I had a paper route, swept floors, emptied trash at an auto garage, delivered flowers, was an assistant manager for an auto parts store, worked in fast food restaurants and for a camera store chain. I went to work as a rookie new car salesman for a Chevrolet dealership in San Fernando eventually becoming the General Sales Manager, overseeing all aspect of new and used car sales and the Finance and Insurance departments managing over 50 people and about $50,000,000 in sales in today’s dollars.

For over 20 years I have worked as a financial advisor and I am currently a Senior Financial Advisor assisting individuals, small business and institutions with their investment, retirement and wealth planning needs.

I have been married to my wife Carolyn, who works in the medical field, for 26 years this May 31st. We live in Canyon Country with our two surviving children, Allie, 16 and Doran, 11. Since day one we were very involved in their lives, volunteering at school, coaching little league, directing school plays and teaching Sunday school at church. Carolyn and I were even docents at the William S. Hart Museum. I have served on various boards, lectured on business and military issues and have hosted national business and political events.

I am running for office because I learned firsthand that this district is not being adequately represented. Congressman McKeon is out of touch with his constituents and is beholden to large defense contractors and other donors. After Rudy was killed, I started looking for answers and accountability through Mr. McKeon and his committee. Other than asking us to speak at Rudy’s prayer vigil and sending a few letters requesting an investigation that had already been ordered by the Army, Mr. McKeon was missing in action for nearly six months. As he stalled, more soldiers were killed at the hands of their “trusted” Afghan partners and protectors. Over the past year, I personally witnessed the nepotism, political control and ineffectiveness that is happening in the district and looked for a candidate that I could get behind to run against McKeon. No one came forward, so at the urging of many in the community I decided to run for office myself to provide better representation for the district.

SCVTALK: SCVTalk readers pay close attention to the news and were extremely saddened when they read of the death last year of your son Rudy, one of several SCV soldiers and Marines to die in Afghanistan in recent years. Many readers and residents went to Rudy’s funeral procession, and much has been written about your son’s life, the circumstances of his death, and your reaction to it. Tell us, if you will, something about Rudy that we’re not aware of.

ACOSTA : Rudy was an exceptional, heroic and dedicated young man. He was also a humorous and often silly “kid” who loved to make people laugh. He played varsity football and volleyball for Santa Clarita Christian School, acted in school plays and frankly, stole the show! He loved In-and-Out burgers and his favorite meal, in fact the first one he asked for when he came home on leave for the last time, was Siam Rice on Soledad Canyon and Sierra Highway. We have a special photo of Rudy with the owner taken that night.

Rudy also had a really big heart for people. His first date with his girlfriend was spent helping her feed her grandmother who was dying from cancer. He held the grandmother’s hand and talked with her as they fed her. What has not been reported widely but was told to us by soldiers that were there when Rudy was killed was that during the attack Rudy told a female medic to run and “covered her” as she escaped the gunfire saving her life.

SCVTALK: You list “Free Markets” as one of your campaign planks on your website. Where do you stand on the Dodd-Frank Financial Regulation bill and would you vote to bail out a bank or financial institution, as Buck McKeon did, if economic authorities said the bank’s failure could threaten the US and Global economies?

ACOSTA : America has not operated under a truly Free Market System for a long time. The 2008 Bank Bailout (TARP) is the best and most recent example of government playing two roles in the economy. Not only is it tasked with being/controlling the regulator of our financial system, in many cases it is also a market participant. TARP is the most recent and relevant example of this very poor policy. Congressman McKeon himself has agreed that in hindsight, he might not have voted for TARP. He blames this change of heart on the claim that the Bush administration and the Treasury Department pressured lawmakers to approve this deal with the country’s largest banks. So, even knowing at the time that TARP would give appointed bureaucrats the unprecedented power to pick winners and losers in the banking industry, he went against his better judgment and voted for TARP. I too now get the benefit of hindsight but my long career in banking and investments told me that TARP did not pass the smell test. Transferring huge sums of public dollars to the already richest banks in the nation, who along with other banks made bad investments, served only to force out small community banks and created mergers that cut competition and reduced customer sentiment towards the industry that I have loved being a part of.

This incident also draws another lesson about Congressman McKeon that I would like to share with voters. I know of several community members that reacted negatively to the news that Congressman McKeon helped President Bush ‘save the free market by abandoning free market principles’. Instead of reaching out to those constituents to explain his vote, he dealt very harshly with their perceived petulance. As your Congressman, I will not react harshly to criticism and will endeavor to have a dialogue, within reason, with those that have opposing points of view.

SCVTALK: If you were elected to Congress as a Republican, how would you work to secure Santa Clarita from the negative consequences of a CEMEX mine in Soledad Canyon? Would you partner with a Democrat to advance such an agenda? Would you push for a CEMEX fix even if it meant violating a supposed Earmark ban in the House?

ACOSTA : I am running as a Republican and will caucus with the Republican Party. However, I will work tirelessly to insure that the Cemex mine is stopped! As far as working with the Democrats, it is vital for both parties to work together on important issues or nothing gets done. In fact, I will be reaching out to several of my personal contacts in the Democratic Party to begin the process of stopping Cemex. Yes, I would push for a fix no matter what it takes as long as it is ethical, doesn’t violate the constitution and is in the best interests of the district.

SCVTALK: On your website, you say you are a “pro-military advocate.” What are your views on the Afghanistan conflict? Do you agree with the President’s strategy and if so, why? If not, why not?

ACOSTA : By pro-military, I am referring to being committed to our servicemen and women first. As most of your readers are aware, on March 19, 2011, we lost our son, Army SPC Rudy Acosta, to an Afghan terrorist masquerading as a base guard while Rudy was on base serving as a Combat Medic in Afghanistan. As a Gold Star father I support 100% the mission that our men and women in uniform are committed to by the Commander-In-Chief and the military officers that serve at the President’s pleasure. It serves no legitimate purpose to denigrate our war-fighting capabilities or the mission our soldiers are fighting for. However, in looking at the future, we will need to honestly assess the sentiment of the American people, our probable financial commitment and the state of readiness of our military forces before committing them to another foreign war. Undoubtedly the bar has been raised as to the type of justification that will be required in order for me to approve the commitment of troops to new foreign theatres. And all foreign intervention should come through the Congress for a vote.

SCVTALK: As Chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, Congressman Buck McKeon is perhaps the most vocal voice in Washington on the need to protect the Defense budget from cuts. Is he going about his role the right way, and would you do anything different than him?

ACOSTA : The Congressman must thread a needle in his role as the Chairman of the House Armed Services Committee. On one hand, he must keep America able to sustain its current commitments in Afghanistan and elsewhere and I give him and his committee high marks in this area. On the other hand they must continually be preparing the military for the challenges of the future. Whether it is in humanitarian work or, God forbid, another foreign war, today’s military equipment and the way our troops are organized is not going to get the job done. Without going into detail, we are spending too much money to keep aged equipment running and are supporting troop deployments that harkens to the Soviet era. The type of missions that our servicemen and women engage in today cries out for better force protection protocols and tactics. Why are Afghans being hired as guards to protect our soldiers through a $4,000,000 DOD contract with a Canadian firm? I have been told by virtually every Soldier and Marine I have met with here and on our bases in Germany that they can do the job themselves. Should I be asked to serve on the House Armed Services Committee or otherwise asked my opinion, I will work to help our national defense forces realign and prepare for the future and the type of combat they will be engaged in.

SCVTALK: Dr. Lee Rogers, one of your opponents, said in an interview with SCVTalk that he thinks the wealthy in America should pay more in taxes, at least equal to what many middle class families pay in order to help balance our budget and restore fiscal responsibility. Do you agree with him?

ACOSTA : You won’t be surprised to learn that I have a difference of opinion with Dr. Rogers on this subject. The fact of the matter is that President Obama and his ultra-rich supporters like Warren Buffet are selling a lie about how some wealthy people are taxed. The fact is that the total tax paid on the money Mr. Buffett receives is actually higher than the capital gains rate at which Warren Buffet is taxed. Mr. Buffet is allowed to choose this rate because he takes his income out as capital gains, not as dividends, which are taxed as regular income and at a higher rate. However, as with all gains and dividend income, the money is essentially taxed twice. Corporate profits are taxed first at the corporate tax rate, 35%, and then taxed again when it is received as profits by the recipient at the 15% capital gains rate as in Buffet’s case. Where the confusion lies is in the fact that our tax code has literally hundreds of thousands of deductions written into it that allow those with the means to understand it the ability to write off significant amounts of income, protecting it from taxation.

The President’s own National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform (The Simpson-Bowles Commission) that he assembled after taking office proposed a complete overhaul of the tax code to both increase revenue to the federal government and lighten the tax burden on the middle class. Though I don’t agree with every suggestion the Commission came up with, I bet that if you and I Jeff went through the Simpson-Bowles work product we’d find a lot we agree on. But the President did not. So far, he has not implemented a single provision outlined in the Simpson Bowles Commission Findings. I am inclined to believe that a simplified tax structure is the only way that we can bring parity to taxation and grow the economy simultaneously.

SCVTALK: 18% of voters in this Congressional district are decline-to-state. Why should these voters select you over Buck McKeon or Lee Rogers?

ACOSTA : They should vote for me because I am actively engaged in the community and I understand what is happening on the ground today and the issues that face the average person. As someone who experienced layoffs due to the global financial crisis I have had the same difficulties as many of them have. Also, I have helped start and run small businesses and for the past 20 years have worked as a financial advisor so I believe I am the best candidate to provide solutions that can help make things better for people of the district.

Voters are tired of 20-year incumbents like Buck McKeon who has proven himself to be ineffective at representing this district and who is beholden to special interests. Conservative leaning voters have never had a credible option before and simply had to vote for McKeon as there was no other option. In me they have that option.

SCVTALK: Illegal immigration is a divisive topic in this District. Do you like Arizona’s AB 1070 law? Should the states be able to devise their own immigration laws as Arizona has done, or is immigration a uniquely Federal responsibility?

ACOSTA :I’m sure many are concerned with illegal immigration as I am; however, our campaign has held many meeting, forums and “Meet & Greets” and this issue has only been raised one time other than your question during this campaign. Based on the questions voters have asked, it seems they are more concerned with jobs and the economy, housing prices, Cemex, corruption and nepotism with our elected officials and gas prices. As far as “liking” AB 1070, I don’t like that the citizens of Arizona felt it necessary to enact it. It shows the failure of the federal government in securing the southern border.

If the federal government finds enforcement of our immigration laws too difficult, it is up to the states to assist them. I am confident that when the Supreme Court of the United States comes back with its decision on the Arizona Immigration law later this summer, it will announce that it agrees with that premise.

SCVTALK: What do you think the Federal role is, if any, in health care?

ACOSTA : For good or bad, the federal government already plays a very large role in healthcare via Medicare, Medicaid and the Veteran’s Administration system. I believe that government has the obligation to reform Medicare and Medicaid to serve the coming generations of citizens that were promised it would be there for them. Eliminating fraud and waste could go a long way toward saving the feds money so it can keep those promises. Beyond that, we must knock down the barriers to competition that stand in the way of better care and better prices. Competition is the only way to drive down prices and drive up quality. Opening up the health insurance market to companies from out of state like the auto insurance market is one way that could happen – giving consumers the choice.

There are other cost savings that could be gained perhaps, by having fewer mandates. I have a friend that is forced, because of mandates, to purchase a policy with substance abuse, infertility, pregnancies and other provisions that it extremely unlikely he will ever use. He is a non-smoking, non-drinking, unmarried man in his late 50’s that is not likely to use those services. In a free market shouldn’t he be able to purchase a policy that fits his needs and actual risks?

Posted in Opinion, Politics | 32 Comments

May 18, 2012–Daily Brief

  • Last evening, a motorcycle and a rental van collided, killing the motorcyclist.  The collision occurred at the intersection of Rutherford/Decoro.  The name of the 39-year-old man who perished in the crash has not yet been released.  SCVNews
  • Was it arson?  Investigators are turning their attention to the cause of a fire at a home on Piedros Drive yesterday, but there are few additional details.  LADailyNews  Another report adds that there may have been connections to a burglary.  SIGNAL
  • Opponents of Cemex mining face a further setback.  House Natural Resources Committee Chairman Doc Hastings recently met with Santa Clarita officials and residents.  He said that land swap legislation to prevent mining of sand and gravel in Soledad Canyon amounted to an earmark.  As such, the swap is banned by House rules.  SIGNAL
  • Discussions of Cemex, the budget, and state legislation are scheduled for the next meeting of the Santa Clarita City Council.  AGENDA
  • Only 30 spectators and three of four candidates (everyone but Buck McKeon) showed up for a primary debate in Simi Valley yesterday.   Pithy headline: “25th Congressional debate lacks something: the incumbent.”  VCStar
  • Yesterday–which happened to be Bike to Work Day–a collision between a bicycle and a car occurred near American Ave/Valencia Blvd.  The bicyclist did not require hospitalization after the incident.  SIGNAL
  • It appears that mail processing currently carried out in Bakersfield will be moved to a center in Santa Clarita in early 2014 (there had been some equivocation about consolidating in the recent past).  USPS representatives explained that mail volumes are too low to justify the current number of processing centers.  They hope to avoid many layoffs since more than half  of processing center employees are eligible to retire.  KHTS
  • During the 2012-13 school year, three Hart District schools will have a different schedule one day per week to accommodate staff collaboration and development.  Hart and Canyon High Schools typically have a 7am first period, but the school day won’t start until 8:50 for students on Wednesdays.  At Sierra Vista, students will be released an hour early on Tuesdays.  According to Tammy Marashlian’s report, teachers and staff like the change, but some parents are finding it difficult to schedule around.  SIGNAL
  • If you’re looking for something to do at 11am today, head over to Canyons Cougar Stadium.  Thousands of students will assemble to set a new world record for the largest drum circle.  Spectators are invited.  CityBriefs
  • Sometimes, art exhibits are given awful names.  In unrelated news, a collection of photographs showcasing Santa Clarita bridges is opening at Town Center; it’s called “Beauty is a Bridge.”  SCVNews
  • Dante Acosta interview posted today around 10ish
Posted in Misc. | 17 Comments

Bike to Work Day Reflections

All Multi-modal up in here

Neat article in the Signal about Bike to Work day in the SCV. Some experienced and first time riders shared their views:

Princess Cruises employee Eric Dean said biking to work every day saves him money and also gives him a good workout. Dean lives in Saugus and says his round trip to and from work each day is about eight miles.

Since he rides his bike, Dean’s family of four manages to get by with one car and saves money.

Exactly! After a few months of cycling to my former job in the SCV, I was able to get rid of my $250/month Subaru WRX, reduce my insurance bill by about a third, and save about $120 a month in gasoline and slash by over half my carbon footprint. Think of the money I saved over the two and half years I biked to work!

I didn’t just save money though, I lost something too, like this rider:

“It’s kind of fun,” said David Luna, a Saugus resident who works for Kaiser Permanente. “I’m trying to lose weight, so this is the first step.”

This is a good strategy. Who has time to go to the gym? Combine your workout with your commute to work and problem solved!

A City traffic engineer also rode his bike to work today. As a member of a department that I’ve accused of being too car-centric (building roads just for the transport and storage of cars, is what I think I’ve said), this was refreshing:

Ian Pari, senior traffic engineer for the city, said he lives in Saugus and was able to get rid of his car once he started working for the city. Pari normally takes the bus and walks the rest of the way to work, but he said taking the bus starting in Saugus and biking the rest of the way to work cut down on his commute time Thursday.

“I did the bike on bus, and it was so convenient,” Pari said. “I live up in Saugus, so it’s kind of far to bike the whole way.”

This is an interesting observation. Getting from Saugus to downtown Valencia isn’t that long of a drive in a car, even if you’re talking the depths of Seco & Pamplico or Plum Canyon. But if you’re riding a bike?

Well, look at this way. If the City would focus more on putting bike lanes on existing roadways, cyclists like Ian Pari would be able to ‘go where the roads’ go as most experienced cyclists like to do. Instead, the city focuses on segregating cyclists into beautiful, nicely-built and expensive off-street paths that seldom go where the roads go. Don’t get me wrong, I love our paths, but they are totally incomplete. Until they are complete, which will never happen given the lack of right-of-way in many parts of town, I prefer well-marked and spaced Class II on-street paths, the kind that line much of Bouquet, Rockwell Canyon, and parts of the Industrial Center.

Think about it- if Mr. Pari had a Class II lane all the way down Seco or Plum or wherver he lives in Saugus, and that lane continued all the way down Valencia Blvd, he’d be riding his bike on the same efficient path he would have driven his car on rather than diverting out of his way to get to a fancy, but incomplete off street path.

Of course there are safety concerns, but I find that most motorists respect well-marked bike lanes. The only accidents I’ve been in in the SCV have been my own stupid fault.

One last observation:

One employee joked about the “benefits” of riding his bike to work. Kevin Vinez, who works in environmental services for the city, said he won his bike in a Metro-sponsored raffle last year and rides to work on occasion.

“You get to come in all sweaty – that’s pretty cool,” Vinez quipped. “Your hair looks funny because the helmet smashes it down.”

I used to worry about that too. But you learn quickly how to adapt to life as a bicycle commuter. It’s simple really: leave a comb, a wash-cloth, some deoderant and, if you like, a spray bottle at work. Once you complete your commute, spend five minutes in the john and you’ll come out as fresh as roses with an endorphin high!

Posted in Transportation | 17 Comments

May 17, 2012 – Daily Brief *

  • Details of the City’s 2012-2013 budget are out, and Canyon Country is getting some love: “$15 million in improvements to Canyon Country, including more patrol deputies and the widening of two bridges,” according to the Signal. Other highlights: $300k to staff and operate a community center, $60k for Cemex mine advocacy, and finally, I say finally! joining the Golden Valley Parkway bike path to the Valley Center/CVC Bike path. Currently that bike path ends in a patch of dirty; 510 feet later it resumes. SIGNAL
  • Good news! Deputies are writing 67% fewer cell-phone use tickets in the SCV. Oh wait. The Deputy responsible for writing most of the tickets was “out of the field” until recently. So are SCV drivers using cell phones while driving less, or is there just no Deputy watching out for this? Whatever the case, a Deputy tells SCVNEWS that “for statistical purposes, it looks like the law is working.” SCVNEWS
  • Really now, what’s it going to take to get the Signal to post a description or photo of the missing Canyon Country woman? 4 days now and they’re rehashing the same information SIGNAL
  • * CurbedLA commenters not very enthused about Newhall Ranch “megadevelopment” being approved CURBED LA
  • Strange: Hart District to provide mental health services for students at one of those strip-mall charter schools by outsourcing to Child and Family Center SIGNAL
  • Local Christian school to graduate its first senior class KHTS
  • KHTS says you should support Measure CK, Sulphur Springs’ somewhat controversial infrastructure building measure on the June 5 ballot KHTS
  • Injuries to drivers and passengers in that terrible Sierra Highway collision weren’t as bad as first feared. SIGNAL
  • Bob Kellar endorses Scott Wilk for Assembly and Dante Acosta for Congress. Oh and the slate of Tea Party types for the local Republican assembly committee FACEBOOK
  • Lucille’s Smokehouse BBQ opens today at Westfield Valencia Town Center. SCVTalk barbecue critics set to pounce….now! CITY BRIEFS
  • I love this lede: “The College of the Canyons Foundation’s Library Associates and Friends of the Gardens groups will host a Twilight Garden Party and Progressive Food and Wine Pairing event June 9, designed to showcase the relaxing ambiance of the college’s garden areas.” SCVNEWS
  • New Roaring 20s drama at CTG later this month KHTS
  • Greek-themed Senses party on Main street tonight CITY BRIEFS
  • Joe Messina dishes in a new post at WRB about life in the 38th Republican Central Committee. He describes himself as an insider who also had outsider friends, but to get support for his campaigns for Hart District, he was instructed by people he doesn’t name to vote a certain way on the committee. When the insurgency against the Haueter clan started, Messina says, rather than adapt, Haueter’s posse merely took their ball, went home, and started a new club. Much of this drama we’ve heard before but Messina packages it nicely WRB
  • Lynne Plambeck with a powerful column today arguing that if you just look at supply and demand, there’s little reason to build Vista Canyon, Newhall Ranch and other developments in the SCV. So what’s going on really? SIGNAL
  • Wow, this week’s TIME RANGER is not to be missed. It’s new, as far as I can tell, and it’s all about the OG SCVers: the Tataviam, or, as snobbish Chumash from the coast derided them “the Aliklik.” Time Ranger takes us through their history, discusses their origin mythology (much like the Genesis myth, he says, and includes a savior who would some day return to the SCV!), and wonders what it would have been like to have been a Tataviam somewhere in the SCV when Gaspar de Portola crossed over into these parts. TIME RANGER
  • Did you bike to work today?
  • May have a Dante Acosta interview posted later today or at the latest tomorrow. Stay tuned!
Posted in Daily Brief | 161 Comments

Romney reaching out to Latinos

SCV Latinos, take note! Romney wants your vote.

Posted in Misc. | 20 Comments

Polls, Rumors of Polls, and Triple Hearsay!

The 1998 Santa Clarita City Council election saw two out of three “open” seats with the departure of incumbents Carl Boyer and Clyde Smyth.  Cameron Smyth sought to capture one of those seats with an energetic campaign, his first.  In the days leading up to the election supporters of (then) young Mr. Smyth alleged the campaign had “polls” showing that he would easily come first or second, somehow occupying the seat kept only for one term by his father.

Alas, on election day Cameron came an (extremely) distant fourth, finishing nearly 1,000 votes behind the third place finisher (Laurene Weste) and over 2,300 votes behind the first place finisher (incumbent JoAnne Darcy).

What went wrong with the “poll?”  Assuming that the supporters did not fib, the most likely conclusion is that what they were citing was not a scientific “poll” at all, but more anecdotal and not indicative or predictive of any particular outcome.

Since that 1998 race no City Council candidate has ever plumped for poll numbers, probably primarily because the money they raise is not sufficient to fund multiple polls, where even the cheapest, most flawed and highest margin of error undertaking costs somewhere around $10k.

No such discipline exists in the current 38th Assembly District primary.  Sources, normally reliable, have fed the following “poll result” information into SCVTALK.  I leave it to readers to determine if these are different polls, the same polls, figments of our sources’ imaginations, or misunderstandings of actual results:

  1. A poll that showed that Patricia McKeon had 75% name recognition compared to Scott Wilk’s 25%;
  2. A poll that showed that Paul Strickland was leading all candidates in SIMI VALLEY because the voters THOUGHT he WAS Congressional candidate Tony Strickland;
  3. A poll that showed that Paul Strickland was leading all candidates THROUGHOUT the District because the voters thought he WAS RELATED to Congressional candidate Tony Strickland; and
  4. A poll that showed Patricia McKeon faltering so much that the pollster did not show her the results.

I suspect that some or all of these might be true, but complexities surrounding polling methodologies and the first time a “top two” system is utilized in California could negate even the best and most sincere efforts of professional polling companies.

The only thing that is certain?  I and my Nebraska bride cast a vote each for Scott Wilk, so he at least has two.

Posted in Misc. | 7 Comments

May 16, 2012 – Daily Brief

  • Board of Supervisors approves Mission Village, a 4,200 home “phase 2″ development of Newhall Ranch on a 3-1-1 vote with Molina voting no and Yaroslavsky abstaining SCVNEWS, SIGNAL
  • Nasty head-on collision on Sierra Highway near Eternal Valley sends four people to the hospital, three in critical condition. A Signal commenter witnessed the crash saying someone got impatient with traffic SIGNAL
  • The elderly woman missing from Canyon Country has gone silent. Her relatives cut off her credit card after seeing that she used it somewhere in Torrance, hoping that the 87 year old woman would phone home, but she hasn’t. SIGNAL
  • SoCal Gas company says scammers are targeting Southern Californians, claiming that President Obama will pay their gas bill if only they hand out their social security number or credit card WRB
  • Rattle snake season upon us with several SCVers finding the unwelcome snakes in their backyards, houses, and at shopping areas. One person even got bitten while shopping the garden section at a Wal Mart! SIGNAL
  • Every time Buck McKeon slams the President for fiscal irresponsibility, remember that the Defense budget his committee offered this week breaks the deal Republicans made with Democrats last year and would actually increase the deficit by $24 billion next year. McKeon’s budget, which will be voted on Friday in the House, is getting a lot of press right now including a veto threat FOX NEWS, LEE ROGERS
  • Bike to Work day tomorrow. CITY BRIEFS has all the details.
Posted in Daily Brief | 135 Comments

May 15, 2012 – Daily Brief

  • SCV School Districts, including Hart and even COC, are preparing studies to determine whether they should move away from at-large election systems and implement district-based or “by trustee” elections. The move is in response to changes in the SCV’s demographics and, Gloria Mercado-Fortine admits, lawsuits against agencies with at-large systems that are occurring throughout the state. Palmdale recently was sued over the same matter SIGNAL
  • Governor Brown release revised budget, finding that the state is in a $16 billion hole. Big cuts are expected to County agencies and especially the court system SIGNAL, LA TIMES
  • 20% of patients who call the County’s 911 system for emergency services don’t actually need to go the ER according to the Times. Even worse, some people abuse the 911 system, calling it to report “babies who wouldn’t stop crying, people who couldn’t sleep and alcoholics who drank too much.” One guy in the story even called 911 to refill a prescription. The result is the same- a fire truck and private ambulance roll to the scene LA TIMES
  • Local Republican groups organize a round table forum for the GOP candidate for United States Senate, Al Ramirez. KHTS
  • 87 year old Canyon Country woman still missing SCVNEWS
  • Interesting article on how local realtors have “nightmare” scenarios in which they’re in the middle of closing a deal on a short-sale house, only to have the bank foreclose on the property SIGNAL
  • What was thought of as a transportation boondoggle that suffered from over-optimistic usage projections and was too expensive? You’re probably thinking California’s High Speed rail project, but you’re wrong. The same criticisms against HSR were leveled against the Golden Gate Bridge in May 1930 SF CHRONICLE
  • Newhall Library almost completely built out. City Briefs has a new aerial image CITY BRIEFS
  • Down with Tyranny blogger says libertarians in California’s 25th District are uniting behind Dr. Lee Rogers to defeat Buck McKeon. No evidence offered though. DWT BLOG
  • I missed Myers’ great breakdown of the City Council election results by precinct. What was surprising? Laurie Ender finished last -even behind Jon Hatami!- in Canyon Country, home to Jakes Way SIGNAL
Posted in Daily Brief | 77 Comments