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	<title>Comments on: December 10, 2009 &#8211; Daily Brief</title>
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	<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/</link>
	<description>your daily dose of SCV news, politics and culture. Published since 2006</description>
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		<title>By: mike</title>
		<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/#comment-5917</link>
		<dc:creator>mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 15:53:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scvtalk.com/?p=982#comment-5917</guid>
		<description>Locally, we&#039;ll just have Smyth and McKeon in 2010. Nationally, the GOP will gain a bunch of seats, it seems.  After 2010 we get redistricting, which may change the game entirely.  The first great SCV showdown may come if Runner wins the Board of EQ race and there is a special election to replace.  Runner&#039;s district is nearly even, much more purple than Smyth&#039;s, for example.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Locally, we&#8217;ll just have Smyth and McKeon in 2010. Nationally, the GOP will gain a bunch of seats, it seems.  After 2010 we get redistricting, which may change the game entirely.  The first great SCV showdown may come if Runner wins the Board of EQ race and there is a special election to replace.  Runner&#8217;s district is nearly even, much more purple than Smyth&#8217;s, for example.</p>
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		<title>By: NickelDime</title>
		<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/#comment-5915</link>
		<dc:creator>NickelDime</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 15:38:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scvtalk.com/?p=982#comment-5915</guid>
		<description>mike,

it&#039;s interesting, though, again, the proof is in the pudding.  it will be interesting next election to see how much the trend holds.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>mike,</p>
<p>it&#8217;s interesting, though, again, the proof is in the pudding.  it will be interesting next election to see how much the trend holds.</p>
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		<title>By: mike</title>
		<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/#comment-5910</link>
		<dc:creator>mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 06:52:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scvtalk.com/?p=982#comment-5910</guid>
		<description>ND, the pattern isn&#039;t in the 2008 election but in the  the gap in party registration in Santa Clarita, which has narrowed substantially over the last half-decade. Feel free to wish it away, but there are a lot of things at play that are moving these numbers. In short, people under 35 aren&#039;t becoming Republicans like they used to, and people who are moving to the SCV don&#039;t have the same motivations as people who used to move here had.  Newer areas like West Ranch and Tesoro are among the valley&#039;s most Democratic.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ND, the pattern isn&#8217;t in the 2008 election but in the  the gap in party registration in Santa Clarita, which has narrowed substantially over the last half-decade. Feel free to wish it away, but there are a lot of things at play that are moving these numbers. In short, people under 35 aren&#8217;t becoming Republicans like they used to, and people who are moving to the SCV don&#8217;t have the same motivations as people who used to move here had.  Newer areas like West Ranch and Tesoro are among the valley&#8217;s most Democratic.</p>
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		<title>By: NickelDime</title>
		<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/#comment-5909</link>
		<dc:creator>NickelDime</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 06:30:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scvtalk.com/?p=982#comment-5909</guid>
		<description>Timmy,

So the apathetic flock to the unincorporated areas - I suppose my gut instinct relayed above is correct, but not in your &#039;hood.  I stand corrected.

Mike,

A sample of one election doesn&#039;t make a pattern.  I&#039;ll be the first guy to nod my head with you at the mid terms.  Don&#039;t get too smug in the meantime, and stay away from the koolaid.

I keep a healthy distance from either party knowing we&#039;ll all get burned if we hang around long enough.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Timmy,</p>
<p>So the apathetic flock to the unincorporated areas &#8211; I suppose my gut instinct relayed above is correct, but not in your &#8216;hood.  I stand corrected.</p>
<p>Mike,</p>
<p>A sample of one election doesn&#8217;t make a pattern.  I&#8217;ll be the first guy to nod my head with you at the mid terms.  Don&#8217;t get too smug in the meantime, and stay away from the koolaid.</p>
<p>I keep a healthy distance from either party knowing we&#8217;ll all get burned if we hang around long enough.</p>
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		<title>By: mike</title>
		<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/#comment-5907</link>
		<dc:creator>mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 05:46:17 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scvtalk.com/?p=982#comment-5907</guid>
		<description>ND:

I was about to say what Tim just said.  But to your hypothesis that conservatives &quot;voted with their feet&quot;, are you suggesting that they somehow &quot;unregistered&quot; to vote?  hardly. This is a town that is rapidly becoming purple.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ND:</p>
<p>I was about to say what Tim just said.  But to your hypothesis that conservatives &#8220;voted with their feet&#8221;, are you suggesting that they somehow &#8220;unregistered&#8221; to vote?  hardly. This is a town that is rapidly becoming purple.</p>
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		<title>By: Timothy Myers</title>
		<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/#comment-5902</link>
		<dc:creator>Timothy Myers</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 01:51:31 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scvtalk.com/?p=982#comment-5902</guid>
		<description>ND:

Your numbers are slight off.  In fact one-third of the population is under 18, but the 85 number is the number of registered voters in the City proper with 160K in people and one third under 18, sooo the City residents are about 80% registered to vote.  Not perfect, but not bad.  If one kicks up adult expatriates the City is probably closer to 90%.

The County areas not so much.  There are 16,000 more voters out of an incremental population of 115K.  Kick out the kiddies and that results 
in a registration rate of about 20%.  No wonder Dave Bossert gets elected with 23 votes!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ND:</p>
<p>Your numbers are slight off.  In fact one-third of the population is under 18, but the 85 number is the number of registered voters in the City proper with 160K in people and one third under 18, sooo the City residents are about 80% registered to vote.  Not perfect, but not bad.  If one kicks up adult expatriates the City is probably closer to 90%.</p>
<p>The County areas not so much.  There are 16,000 more voters out of an incremental population of 115K.  Kick out the kiddies and that results<br />
in a registration rate of about 20%.  No wonder Dave Bossert gets elected with 23 votes!</p>
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		<title>By: Jim Farley</title>
		<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/#comment-5901</link>
		<dc:creator>Jim Farley</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 01:51:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scvtalk.com/?p=982#comment-5901</guid>
		<description>&quot;80% of people with a graduate degree voted for Obama.&quot;

This statistic is not that surprising being that those who spent the most time in colleges that lean very liberal would vote for Obama. I&#039;d like to know how that number breaks down between those who graduated in liberal arts vs those in business and science.

Many who voted for Obama were voting for the &#039;anti-Bush&#039;. As the current polls are showing many are now regretting that vote. I&#039;d like to see how that polling is playing out in the precincts of Northbridge now.

The only poll that will really count is the elections in November. Me thinks the conservatives will make a comeback.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;80% of people with a graduate degree voted for Obama.&#8221;</p>
<p>This statistic is not that surprising being that those who spent the most time in colleges that lean very liberal would vote for Obama. I&#8217;d like to know how that number breaks down between those who graduated in liberal arts vs those in business and science.</p>
<p>Many who voted for Obama were voting for the &#8216;anti-Bush&#8217;. As the current polls are showing many are now regretting that vote. I&#8217;d like to see how that polling is playing out in the precincts of Northbridge now.</p>
<p>The only poll that will really count is the elections in November. Me thinks the conservatives will make a comeback.</p>
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		<title>By: NickelDime</title>
		<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/#comment-5900</link>
		<dc:creator>NickelDime</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 01:12:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scvtalk.com/?p=982#comment-5900</guid>
		<description>mike,

We had ~90% of the 85k registered voters vote.  

We have 275k people in the valley  Assuming 1/3 are under 18, that leaves another 92k unregistered voters.

This valley has a tremendous amount of apathetic folks in it.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>mike,</p>
<p>We had ~90% of the 85k registered voters vote.  </p>
<p>We have 275k people in the valley  Assuming 1/3 are under 18, that leaves another 92k unregistered voters.</p>
<p>This valley has a tremendous amount of apathetic folks in it.</p>
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		<title>By: Timothy Myers</title>
		<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/#comment-5899</link>
		<dc:creator>Timothy Myers</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 01:03:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scvtalk.com/?p=982#comment-5899</guid>
		<description>ND:

On behalf of all the cool kids who mistreated you in high school, please accept my most sincere apologies.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ND:</p>
<p>On behalf of all the cool kids who mistreated you in high school, please accept my most sincere apologies.</p>
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		<title>By: mike</title>
		<link>http://scvtalk.com/2009/12/10/december-10-2009-daily-brief/#comment-5896</link>
		<dc:creator>mike</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 11 Dec 2009 00:37:03 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://scvtalk.com/?p=982#comment-5896</guid>
		<description>ND, are you going out on a limb to predict a Buck McKeon victory in 2010?  That&#039;s pretty bold, yeah?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ND, are you going out on a limb to predict a Buck McKeon victory in 2010?  That&#8217;s pretty bold, yeah?</p>
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