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Economy

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No love for OVOV from the AG’s Office

Monday, March 1st, 2010

A fully built-out SCV according to the OVOV Draft documents

If anything, today’s good Signal report on the reaction of the California Attorney General’s office to the joint City/County One Valley One Vision plan understated just how badly the AG’s office views the draft environmental impact review for OVOV.

Indeed, the letter from the AG savages the OVOV DEIR, saying it fails even as an informational document for “decision makers” and the public:

Our review to date indicates that the DEIR fails as an informational document, in that it
fails to apprise the decision makers and the public of the full range and intensity of the adverse
effects on the environment that may reasonably be expected if the Plan is adopted and carried
out.

As The Signal mentioned, the letter also alleges that the OVOV DEIR glosses over the impact of increased traffic, pollution and greenhouse gases. Here’s a relevant section from the OVOV Draft Circulation Element on the County’s website (note this isn’t from the actual EIR document):

Pursuant to AB 32, standards and regulations for measuring and mitigating greenhouse gas emissions were still being developed during the time this General Plan was prepared.  However, because of the importance of this issue and in response to the State’s mandate that local agencies consider the effects of greenhouse gas emissions in local planning decisions, the City and County have incorporated policies in the General Plan to reduce vehicle trips and thereby reduce carbon emissions through a variety of planning strategies.  These strategies include establishing an urban limit line on the land use map, encouraging infill development through increased densities allowed in the urban core, encouraging mixed use in specified land use designations, promoting transit oriented development around Metrolink stations and the bus transfer station, expanding bikeways and walkways, and using transportation demand management measures.

And here’s the damning response from the AG’s office:

The failure to evaluate the impacts of the proposed Plan as measured against existing conditions, not hypothetical future conditions, results in the DEIR finding the proposed Plan would have no significant impact on climate change (despite adding almost four million metric tonnes of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere), on air quality (despite doubling existing pollutant emissions into an air basin that already is the most polluted in the nation), on transportation (despite increasing average daily trips by about 120%), and other areas. We believe that these findings are not supported by substantial evidence, and that they render the DEIR legally inadequate.

The letter also says that attempts to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in the plan “tend to be voluntary and unenforceable, merely requiring that the mitigation be ‘encouraged’ or ‘promoted’ and not required.”

That’s probably right and it gets to the heart of the matter. You can’t require that homeowners and commuters use other, greener forms of transportation. To a large extent, a planner’s hands are tied, especially if he’s building low density developments that aren’t transit friendly.

The letter also argues that the premise behind OVOV may be flawed simply because it doesn’t recognize the impacts growth in the Antelope Valley will have on Santa Clarita and the North County region:

Further, the cumulative impacts of the proposed OVOV Plan, taken together with the impacts that will result from development and growth in the remainder of the North County subregion, particularly the Antelope Valley, are barely explored at all.

The letter says this “contravenes CEQA’s requirements and is at odds with one of the central rationales for cumulative impact analysis.”

Local critics of the OVOV plan often say that it encourages too much high density development and doesn’t adequately plan for traffic (TimBen Boydston explains in this video). They probably like the AG’s letter (enemy of my enemy is a friend etc) but would disagree with what would limit greenhouse gas emissions: higher density development that discourages private automobile use.

And as well know, high density is a non-starter in Santa Clarita.

One final note: a footnote on the letter says that these comments are submitted “pursuant to his independent power and duty to protect the environment and natural resources of the State from pollution, impairment, or destruction and in furtherance of the public interest.” It adds that the letter should not be “construed as an exhaustive discussion” of OVOV’s compliance with CEQA.

That to me makes it sound more like a political document rather than a document judging the legal merits of the DEIR. For what it’s worth, Jerry Brown is running for governor.

David Gauny on traffic, homeowners and small businesses

Monday, February 22nd, 2010

I just watched David Gauny’s speech before the Canyon Country Advisory Committee last week.

Insofar as any City Council candidate has a plank, Gauny’s seems to be that:

  1. Traffic is bad in SCV
  2. The process at City Hall is broken
  3. The City Council is weak
  4. Small businesses and homeowners are getting screwed by the broken process
  5. Illegal immigrants

There were a couple of things that interested me about this speech. First of all, Gauny, like so many candidates before him, says traffic sucks in the SCV. But he’s not promising to build more roads, he thinks the problem starts at City Hall:

We all sit in red light after red light and wonder how do we keep building here? And the answer is, we bury the numbers to our detriment. There is fuzzy math. I have spent a lot of time looking at how we are calculating traffic, and the numbers are skewed.

Let’s stipulate that traffic does indeed suck in the SCV (I don’t believe that but ok)- is he alleging dishonesty or incompetence on the part of the City’s traffic engineers and planners? That they are manipulating traffic counts or deliberately underestimating the amount of traffic that will be generated by development projects?

That’s a pretty serious charge.

Or is he just using the familiar traffic canard to browbeat the incumbents for letting development in the SCV grow too much?

He then goes on to say some smart things. The City Council, he says, should be focused on bringing high-quality, high paying jobs to the Santa Clarita Valley, not low-wage jobs.

70% of our economy are small business owners. We are three years into a down economy and not one of the incumbents has really stepped up with a plan to solve that problem. What we do have is we’ve got big box stores, we’ve got big companies coming here that are bringing low wage jobs that are benefiting from our tax incentive programs that we’re all paying.

In this, he seems to be questioning the effectiveness of some of the City’s business-friendly programs. Such programs are helping businesses, just not the businesses we need to make the local economy robust. He also says that many of the jobs in the SCV attract people from the SFV and Antelope Valley who increase traffic in our town then take their paychecks back home and spend there.

Perhaps he’s right about that but here’s the thing: how do you grow the SCV economy with high-quality jobs without building new business parks, office buildings and other developments that then result in more traffic?

Remember, this is the guy who lead the fight against Mayo Expansion because it wasn’t a true hospital expansion, rather it was just medical office space expansion. But couldn’t one argue that the Mayo Expansion project, as flawed as it was, will bring high-paying medical jobs to Valencia (recall Frank Ferry shouting “BRAINS!” while gesticulating wildly at an aerial view of HMNMH)?

Much better paying jobs than the Golden Valley shopping center or Bridgeport Marketplace at any rate?

Enterprise Zone, Continued

Saturday, February 20th, 2010

The City’s Economic Development manager Jason Crawford takes issue with my recent post about the Enterprise Zone program and provides some data that shows the program’s effectiveness:

Just wanted to be in touch following your post about the Santa Clarita Enterprise Zone.

Over 1,100 people have been hired since July 1, 2007 at over 160 local businesses through the Santa Clarita Enterprise Zone.

Increasing jobs in Santa Clarita is the primary objective of the Enterprise Zone, of the 21 point Business Plan for Progress and of the City of Santa Clarita’s long term economic development strategy. We know job creation is the foundation of a strong economy, and without the confidence of employment residents may not be able to do the necessities like putting food on their tables , pay their day-to-day bills and mortgage payments, much less go out and spend money on non-essentials which spurs the consumer retail and restaurant spending that drives so much of the economy.

The Enterprise Zone helps businesses of all size, and the majority of the businesses that have seen savings from the Santa Clarita Enterprise Zone are small businesses, many of which have utilized the savings to prevent layoffs and keep their doors open during this Great Recession.

The Enterprise Zone saves businesses money by incentivizing them to hire more employees, invest in new business tools and infrastructure. The business only receives the tax break if they have hired ‘qualified’ employees or made ‘qualified’ equipment purchases, which benefits Santa Clarita through company expansion and new job opportunities for residents.

The Enterprise Zone is a critical tool for retaining our existing businesses and attracting new business to relocate to Santa Clarita, which makes it vital to the overall health and well-being of our community.

The City is working to do everything it can to support Santa Clarita businesses and the people they employ to ensure the success of our community. It is within everyone’s best interest. We are already ahead of many other cities, and I am confident we will come out of the recession one of LA County’s strongest cities.

Considering that the raw amount of people unemployed in Santa Clarita per the BLS stands around 6,000-7,000 people, 1,100 new jobs is certainly a good accomplishment for the EZ Program.

Ideally, it’d be nice to see the City of Santa Clarita report figures like these yearly or even quarterly. It’d go along way toward reassuring nitpickers like me that all the outreach effort toward local business owners is paying off in the form of new jobs and a more robust economy.

Thank you for the note Jason.

McKeon/Ender press conference about stimulus

Friday, February 19th, 2010

It’s finally up on YouTube:

Congressman McKeon never strayed far off the message he’s been repeating over the last year: the stimulus was bad and went to crazy things like bike trails and Democratic operatives and the way to fix the economy is  to give tax cuts and incentives to small businesses. I particularly liked how he mocked the official name of the bill at the beginning of the clip and had to mention that policemen, firemen and teachers whose jobs were saved by the stimulus last year were all union members.

In contrast, Councilmember Laurie Ender talked a bit about how the City had spent stimulus money. She said that the millions of stimulus dollars came with strings attached; most of it had to be spent on “shovel ready” projects and that’s why the City has put up those ARRA signs all over town as they repave and resurface roads, projects that are relatively easy to kick off.

She acknowledged that Santa Clarita is better off than the county and the rest of the state, but she says she still feels as if we’re “on the brink” of economic collapse.

Then she said this about the current state of the economy and what the City is doing about it:

We’re now at the point of trying to keep businesses from closing. And so having to wait another year or two years for money to come down the line for shovel-ready is not keeping businesses open. It’s not going to help AV in the long run, it’s not going to help Bristol Farms that is closing because they can’t stay open in this economy.

She’s right about that. The United States isn’t in the practice of handing money directly over to private companies (well unless you’re a super bank in NYC I suppose) without expecting something in return.

But does it necessarily follow that if we were to give tax breaks to AV Equipment or even Bristol Farms that they would stay open and hire more people?  What level of tax breaks would it take for Mr. Cruikshank to hire back the 14 people he’s laid off? What red tape should we have cut to save Bristol Farms?

And also, hasn’t some of AV Rental’s equipment been used in the shovel ready projects around town?

You can review some of the projects stimulus funds have helped pay for in our city by clicking here.

More on the Enterprise Zone

Friday, February 19th, 2010

Latest Enterprise Zone commercial from the City:

Notice it makes no mention that EZ beneficiaries are supposed to be creating jobs…no the chief selling point here is that local businesses can “virtually eliminate [their] business state income tax.”

You know what? That’s money out of our collective pockets, money these businesses would be paying to we the people. Money that could go to our schools, roads or the City itself, which is having its own fiscal challenges lately.

Instead, we’re giving them big tax breaks, and for what? What are we getting out of it?

Well we know Walmart is taking advantage of it. So are scores of other big box retailers, restaurants and auto dealers.

Are they creating jobs that help our local economy? Where is the cost/benefit analysis that shows this is a worthwhile program for our valley and not just a handout to the local business class? What are we really getting out of this? I want specifics, not announcements that it has created “hundreds of jobs.” What kind of jobs?

We simply don’t know. The testimonials posted on the City’s EZ website from business owners just say the program has saved them money.  The only evidence we do have comes from a non-partisan Sacramento think tank, and it says EZ programs are negligible when it comes to creating jobs.

And people wonder why I’m skeptical of the $200,000 we handed over to local business interests to create the Santa Clarita Economic Development Corporation and they wonder why I laugh when we hear that the local Chamber is hiring a lobbyist who will fight EZ program changes that would require employers to provide health care for their employees.

For that matter, where’s David Gauny and TimBen Boydston demanding proper accountability for our city programs and tax dollars?

But by all means, if you’re a local business owner, they’re throwing another breakfast for you next week, so have at it, on our dime.

Santa Clarita Century, the start of something grand for the SCV?

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

This weekend I abandoned the SCV and headed to Palm Springs for the Tour de Palm Springs, billed as the West’s biggest charity bicycle ride.

It didn’t disappoint as a bicycle ride nor, it turns out, as an economic event for the Coachella Valley:

The valley is coming off a big weekend that was a boon for business. There was plenty going on in both ends of the valley.
The Riverside County Fair in Indio helped bring people to town. On the west side, nearly 10 thousand cyclists converged on Downtown Palm Springs for the annual Tour de Palm Springs.
On top of that, Modernism Week got underway.
Al Lanewala, the Manager of Desert Soles shoe store says, add it all up and people visiting Palm Springs were spending money.

KESQ says there wasn’t a single hotel room available in all of the desert valley this weekend. I can verify that. It was hard to find space in the valley as 10,000 cyclists rolled into town, took over the streets and started spending money.

Since I rode the Tour last year, I’ve wished for Santa Clarita to have such an event. Maybe we don’t have quite the number of neat attractions that Palm Springs does, but we do have Six Flags, great spring/winter weather and fantastic riding on our hills and in our canyons.

That’s why I was happy to see the organizers of the Santa Clarita Century & the City of Santa Clarita are planning for their second charity bike ride this year in the SCV. This year’s Century ride will take place April 3 and will offer a 100 mile, 50 mile, 25 mile and “family fun ride” for those interested. Last year over 200 people went on the ride which supports the Santa Clarita Child & Family Center and the Center of Rehabilitative Exercise.

And this year the Santa Clarita Century will start off in our “downtown”: Valencia Town Center, a much more visible and central location compared to the Santa Clarita Metrolink station last year.

Who knows? Maybe in 5-10 years the Santa Clarita Century ride will become a large economy-boosting event for the SCV like the Tour de Palm Springs is for the Coachella Valley. I’m sure that’s something local government and business leaders could get behind.

Our Great Recession

Friday, February 5th, 2010

Chart by Calculated Risk Blog, click for original post

The United States lost another 20,000 jobs last month, and December’s totals were revised up to 150,000 jobs. The unemployment rate dipped to 9.7%, but the standard caveat about people no longer looking for work still applies. Since the Great Recession began, 8.4 million jobs have gone away, and many economists fret, that, in the immortal words of Bruce Springsteen, “these jobs is going boys, and they ain’t comin’ back.”

In California, the picture is even bleaker. California’s unemployment rate is still in the 12.4% range.

I feel fortunate to be living in Santa Clarita during these times. At least our unemployment rate is holding steady at 7.4% in December, according to a preliminary Bureau of Labor Statistics report. But all around us, stores are closing up shop. There are many vacancies all around the city; Town Center Drive would look abandoned if it weren’t for the few restaurants still operating there. Even the once-powerful Creekside auto row is a shadow of its former self. Been by the Saturn dealer lately? It’s now practically a used car dealership.

There are some exciting things coming -Sprouts for one- but overall the pace of “For Lease” signs is only increasing and I haven’t even looked into the residential market lately.

But at least I’m employed. I wish the best to any SCVTalk readers who have been hurt by this terrible recession.

NotAFerryFan Unhinged

Friday, February 5th, 2010

The YouTube blogger bundles all the anti-illegal alien rage he can into a 10:21 video (including pictures of day laborers standing on RailRoad) and even works me into the video at 6:30:

In all these anti-illegal immigration videos, I keep hearing Lee Greenwood. So let me reply with a message from someone they are sure to appreciate, someone who never shied away from social justice and compassion for those who have less than us, Big John Cash:

What Lynne Plambeck got right (and wrong) in her piece on NIMBYs

Friday, November 13th, 2009

I liked some of the points local environmentalist Lynne Plambeck brought up in her piece defending “Not in my Backyard” tendencies in the SCV. But, as we shall see, not all NIMBY sentiments in the SCV are good for us, the environment, or our future.

Indeed, while Lynne rightly points out where NIMBY activists helped the SCV at large (the battle against Elsmere, CEMEX, etc) she fails to mention where those same sentiments reveal ugly and indeed selfish tendencies on the part of Santa Clarita. Here’s a few examples:

Thanks to the active and articulate NIMBYs in the Old Orchard area speaking out in 2006, we still have most of the beautiful old Eucalyptus trees lining McBean Parkway. Neighborhood NIMBYs turned out in droves to protest the city’s proposal to cut down some 40 of these old majestic trees for lane widening.

That’s all well and good, but it was people in that same neighborhood that “turned out in droves” to protest Vallarta moving into the Old Orchard shopping center back in 2005/06 by exploiting Latino stereotypes and claiming such a grocery store wouldn’t “fit in” to their neighborhood. A Vallarta chief even showed up to the defend the company’s choice at a City Council meeting after scores of neighbors organized to fight it.

(Four years later, incidentally, the Old Orchard Shopping center is thriving and Vallarta has poured hundreds of thousands of dollars into remaking a significant portion of the valley’s oldest shopping mall).

They promote trails and bike paths; they form community standard districts; they organize block parties to meet their neighbors. In short, they are good citizens and caring neighbors.

Well neighbors in the Decoro area sure did join together, but they joined in order to fight the Decoro bike lanes which made their community more livable, friendly, and safer. They fought to have their high speed road restored

As for special standards districts? Special standards districts are the method by which rich and/or influential neighborhoods fight common sense public amenities like sidewalks and street lights. Just ask a Master’s College student what it’s like to walk between campuses during heavy winter rains at night and you’ll understand Special Standards Districts in action. They suck unless you have a horse, two acres of land, and a ranch house.

Likewise, I think Castaic NIMBYs are partly responsible for the continued delay in construction of Castaic High. Residents there have shot down at least one, maybe two proposals in the last ten years which means students have to be trucked to distant West Ranch or Valencia High, leading to more traffic and pollution.

Meanwhile, over in Bridgeport, we saw another example of ugly NIMBYism. Canada Geese, attracted to the water just like wealthy Bridgeport homeowners, were pooping all over the place. The Bridgeport HOA’s solution to that problem? Hire an exterminator who would either shoot or poison the birds.

I wasn’t here for it, but I’ve seen this brought up several times on this blog. Back in the 1980s, CalTrans offered to extend Highway 126 from I-5 to the 14. But NIMBYs shot it down. And now, 20 years later, we’re just about done with the Cross Valley Connector, a roadway that accomplishes the same goal but cost us a lot of money.

NIMBYism is the seed of our democracy that can and often does blossom into care for our whole state and our nation. It is the beginning of a public dialogue about issues that affect us in our own neighborhoods. For this, NIMBYism should be praised and encouraged.

Perhaps the biggest flaw in Plambeck’s column is that it portrays NIMBYs as heroic defenders of their neighborhood and ignores counter examples. And perhaps the biggest flaw in my view of NIMBYs is that I tend to see them as selfish villagers waving pitchforks and torches trying to fight progress.

The truth is NIMBYs are just like any other activist group. They can do good and they can do bad, and there’s plenty of examples of both right here in Santa Clarita.

On a bike, the SCV looks quite different

Wednesday, November 11th, 2009

I had the day off today. So, in addition to waking up late, enjoying multiple cups of coffee, and honoring Veterans by visiting the Veterans Plaza in Newhall, I got to enjoy the rare treat of a week-day bike ride.

The purpose of today’s ride was two-fold: Get some much needed exercise and visit some spots in the SCV I’ve been neglecting lately, including the new Patios development at the mall. Here’s some photos and I hope you enjoy! (Click to view larger images)

P-Canyon has to be the best short Canyon ride in town and it marked the beginning of my ride today

P-Canyon has to be the best short Canyon ride in town and it marked the beginning of my ride today

Back in my post-college days, I worked at a commercial real estate firm and knew CoStar well. They are no doubt cataloging all the vacant retail & office spaces in town

Back in my post-college days, I worked at a commercial real estate firm and knew CoStar well. They are no doubt cataloging all the vacant retail & office spaces in town

Like this one. Yet another furniture store going out of business. This time on Citrus Street

Like this one. Yet another furniture store going out of business. This time on Citrus Street

Yet among all the recessionary blues, there are rays of hope. Here's the new Patios development. Quite nice and I dig how it opens up to welcome you

Yet among all the recessionary blues, there are rays of hope. Here's the new Patios development. Quite nice and I dig how it opens up to welcome you

I had to ride and shoot quickly in order to avoid the Westfield rent-a-cop bikers. Fortunately I'm way faster than they are. Nice entrance yes?

I had to ride and shoot quickly in order to avoid the Westfield rent-a-cop bikers. Fortunately I'm way faster than they are. Nice entrance yes?

A lookout tower to keep shoppers inline or a nice architectural feature?

A lookout tower to ensure shoppers are Thinking SCV sufficiently or a nice architectural feature?

Thank you Westfield/NLF for remembering to install these attractive bike racks. Kudos to you!

Thank you Westfield/NLF for remembering to install these attractive bike racks. Kudos to you!

One of the last California Grizzly bears was killed not far from the SCV, so I was pleased to see this painted bear public art piece at the entrance to Macy's

One of the last California Grizzly bears was killed not far from the SCV, so I was pleased to see this painted bear public art piece at the entrance to Macy's

As you can see, much has been accomplished at our venerable mall, and much remains to be done. I assume these will all be shops soon

As you can see, much has been accomplished at our venerable mall, and much remains to be done. I assume these will all be shops soon

The site formerly known as the Greens. This is a true return-to-nature story in the heart of Valencia. It looks WILD. Someday there might be a gigantic Sheraton at this location

The site formerly known as the Greens. This is a true return-to-nature story in the heart of Valencia. It looks WILD. Seriously, where are the over-aggressive code-enforcement officers now? Someday there might be a gigantic Sheraton at this location

I Heart our Mall even though I don’t shop there much. I’m not like the SCV old-timers who remember onion fields where the mall once was, but one of my first SCV memories was visiting the mall the week it opened in 1992. It too opened during a recession and I’m sure there were many doubters back then.

But then the boom-boom 90s hit and pretty soon, NLF was building Town Center Drive, the first major expansion to the mall.

Now, just 10 years after that, we have another new expansion.

For all the criticism leveled at NLF over the years, I think they (and Westfield now) deserve praise for really creating a destination in the heart of Santa Clarita.

No doubt the economy will improve and the Patios + Town Center mall + Town Center Drive will make for a compelling shopping area.

Anyway that’s it, hope you enjoyed.